Prediction For 2011


Photo By Mack Ade


1. The Mets break camp with a 25-man that includes P Chris Capuano, IF Brad Emaus, RP Peter Beato, OF Scott Hairston, and RP Oliver Perez.

2. In April, Jose Reyes comes out like fire and leads the National League in batting average and steals. The Mets win 13 of their first 20 games, even though the collective ERA of the pitching staff is over 4.00. 

3. The Oliver Perez era is over. He is cut after posting an 18.00 ERA in his first five games of the season.

4. The Mets have a miserable May and end the month in fourth place, just one game ahead of the Florida Marlins.

5. Minors wise, Buffalo has a nine game lead in the league, led by the hitting of Reese Havens and Fernando Martinez. Jenrry Mejia is 4-0 as a starter. 

6. June brings three gigantic moves that will shape the future of the team for many years. SS Jose Reyes is traded to the Toronto Blue Jays for prospects C J.P. Arencibia and SP Kyle Drabek. Both are assigned to Buffalo and Ruben Tejada is promoted to the Mets to replace Reyes at shortstop.

7. In the second move, the Mets trade OF Carlos Beltran (.303, healthy) to the New York Yankees for pitcher prospects Andrew Brackman and David Phelps. Both are assigned to Buffalo and Fernando Martinez (.323, 11-HR) is promoted to Queens and replaces Beltran.

8. In the third, and most interesting move, The Mets trade 1B Ike Davis to Washington for SS/2B Danny Espinosa. This is an obvious move to make room for the addition of Albert Pujois in the off-season. The second base experiment of Daniel Murphy comes to an end and he will finish the season out playing first base for the Mets. Brad Emaus becomes the second baseman, until September, when Reese Havens is promoted to Queens. Espinosa is assigned to Buffalo for four weeks, but eventually is promoted to Queens and replaces Ruben Tejada at shortstop.

9. The 2011 MLB Draft is held and the Mets score big in their first four picks. Chosen are RHP Sonny Gray, C Peter O’Brien, P Hudson Boyd, and OF Brian Goodwin. All four are signed and, excitingly, all four are assigned to the Brooklyn Cyclones.

10. The Mets continue to play .500 ball and move back and forth from third to fourth place in the division. P Chris Young is the surprise of the season, posting stats of 11-3, 1.80 through June.

11. Johan Santana, who wound up back on the DL three days after returning to the Mets (labrum), announces his immediate retirement. The Mets will finish the season with a rotation of Mike Pelfrey, Chris Young, Jon Niese, R. A. Dickey, and Jenrry Mejia.

12. The Mets finish the season 80-82, in 3rd place.

2012 Team –

1B Albert Pujois, 2B Reese Havens, SS Danny Espinosa, 3B David Wright, LF Jason Bay, CF Angel Pagan, RF Fernando Martinez, C J.P. Arencibia

Rotation: Mike Pelfrey, Chris Young, Jenrry Mejia, Andrew Brackman, Kyle Drabek
AAA Rotation: Matt Harvey, David Phelps, Jeurys Familia, Robert Carson, Brad Holt
AA Rotation: Greg Peavey, Steve Matz, Sonny Gray, Hudson Boyd




10 Responses to Prediction For 2011

  1. anon says:

    mack…whats the point of publishing this bullshit

    stop begging for donations
    stop redirecting us to a new site

    maybe its time to retire or get a real job

    act like a man

  2. CCY says:

    Wow, Mack, our crystal balls are almost in synch—magnetic disturbances in the ionosphere can probably account for the discrepancies.

    I had Beltran AND K-Rod to Texas for Tanner Scheppers & Michael Kirkman; Jose to Boston for Casey Kelly & Yamaico Navarro; and Davis to Toronto for… Arencibia & Drabek(!!!).

    And I didn’t allow for the Pujols fantasy… had Flores taking over for Murphy in (late) 2012.

    Anon doesn’t get it. It;s not about the names, it’s the (new) process.

    • Mack Ade says:

      Oh, he can’t help himself. He’s young and doesn’t understand this should be fun also.

      I’m going to enjoy this year. The pressure is off and it should be a kick for a draft nut like me.

  3. John Carroll says:

    seriously, whats that guy anon’s deal… relax dude!

    as a side note, while i am optimistic on gaining valuable players for reyes and beltran, the reyes to toronto scenario makes no sense, if only because they clearly arent playing for this year and reyes will just walk – reyes to boston or anaheim or milwaukee (if they still had players) or st louis (to make 1 more run before losing pujols) makes much more sense…

    • Mack Ade says:

      Hey John:

      Anon is a young dude that writes for one of the draft sites… guess he didn’t realize his AOL email address would print out…

      I sent Reyes to Toronto because they have three viable catcher prospects and, though I like Josh Thole, I still think the Mets need more here.

      These are fun posts because everyone has a different way this will go.

  4. Ryan says:

    Good post Mack, I love it! As mentioned above, it’s not about specifics because who knows what the season will bring and what suprise team will need a 28 year 5 tool SS in his prime and a switch hitting CF that can carry a team when he’s right? Who knows, maybe the Mets will???

    • Mack Ade says:

      specifics are highly debatable; however, the Mets could secure 8-10 prospects from possible ASG break trades (Reyes, Beltran, K-Rod, Ike) + 4 picks in the top 101 in the most talented draft in 5 years…. entire makeup of team could change like Kaiser Sose… “poof… and they’re gone…”

  5. mash says:

    hey mack, good stuff

    i really hope reyes doesnt get traded this year or let go at all…

    but you and all the commenters and some other writers see it happening

    how likely do you think it really is

    • Mack Ade says:

      Mash, this time looks for real.

      Both Sandy Alderson and Terry Collins have said some very carefully worded statements about Jose.

      The Mets that you and I have followed the past 4-5 years is “the age of Jose and David”… however, that really is an extension of the “age of Omar”

      I really think the new Mets brass will redefine this team with the goal of returning to the World Series in 2014, and I see very few of the 2010 25-man squad still being around by then.

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