Cutnpaste: – Fernando Martinez, Ike Davis, Ryan Fraser

Fernando Martinez:

Few players have seen their stock drop as much as Martinez over the past four years. Back in 2007, he ranked as the 22nd-best prospect in all of baseball. Last season he checked in at No. 77, and he’s dropped all the way to eighth on BA’s Mets list. For some reason, the Mets haven’t had much luck developing outfielders, so there’s no real reason to believe that Martinez will turn out any better than say, Lastings Milledge. Like Milledge, his long-term future could be elsewhere.  


“Fonzie” was a key player for the last Met team to win the NL pennant, a quiet leader who spent his first four years as one of the best-kept secrets in baseball. By 1999, though, the secret was out, as Alfonzo exploded with 27 HR, 41 doubles, 108 RBI, and a .304 AVG. He followed that up with an even better season in 2000, hitting another 25 HR, reaching .324 AVG and posting a .967 OPS. But it wasn’t just about the offensive numbers — Fonzie did everything well. He could hit, of course, and he also ran the bases well (with speed and intelligence), played Gold-Glove defense (at two different positions), and from all accounts a good clubhouse guy during his peak years in Flushing. Other All-Stars such as Mike Piazza, Robin Ventura, and John Olerud may have overshadowed him, but for a six-year period, it could be argued that Edgardo Alfonzo was the Mets’ best all-around ballplayer.  

Ike Davis:

Ike Davis may never hit for a consistently high batting average considering his strikeout rate of over 20 percent in the minors (160 K in 769 PA), but he was tied for 50th in TAv in 2010 (among 149 qualifiers), a fact disguised by his home ballpark. Unfortunately, fantasy owners don’t get to park-adjust him, so he’ll be battling that disadvantage again in 2011. But, given how quickly he’s scaled the pro ranks (he was in college in 2008), there’s every reason to expect him to continue to grow as a player, including across-the-board improvements in contact, patience, and power. When his PECOTA percentiles are published, expect the top ones to suggest the possibility of a dramatic improvement, though weighted-means is likely to only show a marginal improvement for 2011.  

Ryan Fraser:

Drafted out of Memphis by the Mets this June, Fraser reminds me a lot of Bobby Parnell. Like Parnell, Fraser was a starter/middle reliever who pitched to middling results at a college in the south when he was drafted as a junior in the middle rounds. Fraser too can dial up his fastball into the 95+ mph range — though it is very straight — and features a sharp yet inconsistent slider as well as spotty command of both pitches. His change-up is a below average offering. Also like Parnell, the feeling is that despite projecting as a dominant late-inning reliever the Mets will try Fraser as a starter in the minors before determining his long-term role.  


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